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Case study — Real costs

Two cars, two fuels, one brutal comparison

From Mercedes GLE diesel and Mini diesel to Mercedes EQE 53 AMG and Mini Cooper Electric — the same household, the same mileage, the real numbers. No green optimism, no fudged assumptions.

Electric Diesel 18,000 miles/year combined Rose Cottage, Oxfordshire Octopus Intelligent Go tariff

Executive summary

When this comparison was first assembled, diesel at the pump cost around £1.55/litre and the case for going electric was already compelling on cost grounds. That figure is now £1.85/litre — and rising. The conflict in the Gulf that began in February 2026 has driven diesel up by more than 34p/litre in a matter of weeks, closing the Strait of Hormuz to oil tankers and spiking Brent crude above $100 a barrel for the first time since 2022.

This is not a climate argument. It is not a technology argument. It is a simple arithmetic argument: the more volatile and expensive oil becomes, the more insulated the electric vehicle owner is from the consequences. The household in this case study charges both cars overnight at 7p/kWh on the Octopus Intelligent Go tariff, and on sunny days from their own solar array at effectively zero cost. When Brent crude spikes by $40 a barrel, their per-mile driving cost does not change by a single penny.

The case study that follows documents a switch from a Mercedes GLE diesel and Mini diesel to a Mercedes EQE 53 AMG and Mini Cooper Electric — both bought at 18 months old to sidestep new-car depreciation. The numbers show a saving of £3,948/year in running costs, a per-mile fuel cost of 2.5p versus 20p, and a 5-year total cost of ownership approximately £9,390 cheaper for the electric pair. And those figures were calculated at £1.85/litre. If the conflict continues and diesel climbs further, every additional penny on the pump price makes the comparison more favourable for electric — not less.

£3,388
annual fuel-only saving, EV vs diesel @ £1.85/litre
£424
total annual charging cost, both EVs
£5,831
total annual running cost, both diesels
7p
per kWh overnight charge rate (Octopus Go)

The cars

The same household ran two premium diesel SUVs — a Mercedes GLE diesel handling long-distance and family duties, and a Mini diesel for town and shorter trips. Both have been replaced with electric equivalents, keeping the same premium positioning and broadly the same roles.

Replaced → diesel Mercedes GLE Diesel Large premium SUV · 12,000 miles/year
Real-world mpg~36 mpg
Annual fuel litres~1,515 litres
Fuel cost @ £1.85/litre~£2,803/year
Road tax (VED)~£620/year
Annual service~£600–900
CO2 emissions179 g/km
New → electric Mercedes EQE 53 AMG SUV Electric performance SUV · 12,000 miles/year
Real-world efficiency~3 mi/kWh
Annual kWh used~4,320 kWh
Charge cost @ 7p/kWh£302/year
Road tax (VED from 2025)£690/year*
Annual service~£300–450
CO2 emissions0 g/km
Replaced → diesel Mini Cooper Diesel Premium supermini · 6,000 miles/year
Real-world mpg~50 mpg
Annual fuel litres~545 litres
Fuel cost @ £1.85/litre~£1,008/year
Road tax (VED)~£195/year
Annual service~£300–450
CO2 emissions~120 g/km
New → electric Mini Cooper Electric Electric supermini · 6,000 miles/year
Usable battery28.9 kWh
Annual kWh used~1,734 kWh
Charge cost @ 7p/kWh£121/year
Road tax (VED from 2025)£195/year
Annual service~£150–250
CO2 emissions0 g/km

* EQE 53 list price exceeds £50,000 threshold, attracting £195 standard VED + £495 luxury supplement = £690/year for years 2–6. Mini Cooper Electric under £40,000 threshold, standard £195 rate.

The fuel cost calculation

Context — May 2026: The conflict in the Middle East — ongoing since 28 February 2026 — has driven diesel up by more than 34p/litre within weeks, with the RAC reporting an average UK pump price of 175.73p/litre by late March 2026. The Strait of Hormuz has seen a massive decline in shipping traffic, with around 20 million barrels of oil per day affected and production cut by at least 10 million barrels in the Gulf countries. The figures in this case study use £1.85/litre — the current price at time of writing. If diesel continues to rise, every penny adds directly to the diesel owner's annual cost. The EV owner's cost does not change.

All home charging is done overnight on the Octopus Intelligent Go tariff at 7p/kWh — the same overnight rate used for the Sunamp hot water heat battery and Sonnen battery storage at Rose Cottage. This is the key variable. At the standard day rate of 27.75p/kWh the charging economics change significantly; the cheap overnight rate is what makes the numbers genuinely compelling.

The 7p/kWh overnight rate is not a special EV deal — it's the same tariff the household already uses for battery storage and hot water. The EV charging is simply another overnight load that charges at 6am at the same rate. The solar array means some charging also happens during the day from surplus generation, potentially pushing the effective per-mile cost even lower.

Mercedes EQE 53 AMG — annual charging

12,000
miles per year
250 mi
real-world range per charge
48
full charges per year
4,320 kWh
electricity consumed annually
£302
annual cost @ 7p/kWh
2.5p
per mile (vs ~17p diesel)

Mini Cooper Electric — annual charging

6,000
miles per year
100 mi
real-world range per charge
60
full charges per year
1,734 kWh
electricity consumed annually
£121
annual cost @ 7p/kWh
2.0p
per mile (vs ~14p diesel)

The full cost comparison

Cost category Diesel (both cars) Electric (both cars) Annual saving
Fuel / charging — Mercedes £2,803 £302 £2,046
Fuel / charging — Mini £1,008 £121 £724
Fuel subtotal £3,811 £423 £2,770
Road tax (VED) — Mercedes £620 £690* −£70
Road tax (VED) — Mini £195 £195 £0
Annual service — Mercedes ~£750 ~£375 ~£375
Annual service — Mini ~£375 ~£200 ~£175
AdBlue (diesel only) ~£80 £0 £80
Diesel fuel duty escalation risk Ongoing exposure None
Total annual running costs ~£5,831 ~£1,883 ~£3,330

* EQE 53 AMG attracts the £495 EV luxury supplement (list price over £50,000) under April 2025 VED changes, slightly higher than the diesel GLE. Service cost estimates based on typical Mercedes and MINI EV service plans; EV servicing is lower due to absence of oil changes, filters, exhaust components, and less brake wear via regenerative braking. Fuel price based on current UK pump price of £1.85/litre diesel (May 2026). At this price the per-mile diesel fuel cost is approximately 17.3p/mile for the GLE.

"At 7p/kWh overnight, the EQE 53 AMG costs 2.5p per mile to run. The equivalent diesel GLE costs approximately 20p per mile at £1.85/litre. That's not a rounding error — it's an 8× difference in per-mile fuel cost."

The solar advantage

The charging economics above assume 100% overnight grid electricity at 7p/kWh. Rose Cottage has a 15.8 kWp solar array generating an estimated 14,000–16,000 kWh annually. The Zappi charger runs in Eco mode, prioritising surplus solar for EV charging before drawing from the grid.

In practice this means a meaningful proportion of charging — particularly for the Mini doing shorter local trips — happens from daytime solar surplus at an effective cost of 0p/kWh (displaced export at 15p/kWh rather than grid import at 27.75p/kWh). The Zappi's April 2026 charge history showed 394 kWh consumed — much of it during daylight hours from solar surplus.

Conservative estimate: if 30% of annual EV charging (approximately 1,816 kWh) comes from solar surplus rather than grid electricity, the effective annual charging cost falls from £424 to approximately £300 — and the saving versus diesel widens to nearly £5,000/year on fuel alone.

Carbon: the numbers that matter

GLE diesel
179 g/km
Mini diesel
~120 g/km
EQE 53 AMG
0 g/km tailpipe
Mini Electric
0 g/km tailpipe

Annual CO2 from the two diesel cars at 18,000 miles combined: approximately 5.4 tonnes. At the UK grid carbon intensity of 136 gCO2/kWh, the 6,054 kWh used by both EVs annually produces approximately 0.82 tonnes on a full-grid basis — an 85% carbon reduction. With solar generation covering 30%+ of charging, the actual carbon footprint falls below 0.6 tonnes — a 90%+ reduction against the diesel baseline.

The costs nobody talks about

AdBlue and diesel exhaust fluid
Modern diesel SUVs require AdBlue (urea solution) for SCR emissions systems. The GLE typically uses 1–1.5 litres per 1,000 miles — roughly £80/year at 12,000 miles.
EV saving: ~£80/year
Brake replacement
EVs use regenerative braking, meaning brake pads and discs last significantly longer — often 2–3× the interval of a diesel equivalent. On a large SUV at 12,000 miles/year this can save £400–600 every service cycle.
EV saving: £150–200/year amortised
Oil changes and filters
Diesels require oil, oil filter, fuel filter, and air filter changes — typically included in service costs but adding £150–300 per service versus an EV which has none of these. The GLE's complex diesel requires more frequent attention than a petrol.
EV saving: included in service estimate above
DPF and emissions system
Diesel Particulate Filters on modern SUVs can cost £1,500–3,000 to replace if they fail or become blocked — a risk particularly on vehicles doing significant urban mileage. No equivalent risk on an EV.
EV saving: risk eliminated entirely
Congestion and ULEZ charges
London's ULEZ covers an area extending well beyond the North/South Circular. A diesel GLE failing the ULEZ standard would face £12.50/day charges for any London driving. EVs are exempt.
EV saving: variable, up to £4,500/year for daily London drivers
Home energy integration
The Zappi charger integrates with the home's solar array and Octopus tariff — EV charging becomes another optimisable load alongside the Sunamp heat battery and Sonnen storage. The diesel cars were a separate cost silo with no integration benefit.
EV advantage: system-wide optimisation

The smart buying strategy: let someone else take the depreciation hit

Both cars in this comparison were bought at 18 months old. This is the deliberate strategy — and it changes the economics of premium EV ownership fundamentally.

The Mercedes EQE 53 AMG has a new list price of approximately £115,000. Early EQE models depreciate heavily in the first 18–24 months — the combination of rapid technology improvement in newer models, EV market softness, and luxury-tier buyer caution has driven used prices down sharply. The owner purchased an 18-month-old EQE 53 AMG for £60,000 — a 48% discount on new list price, for a car with a full remaining warranty, under 15,000 miles, and all the technology intact.

Someone paid £115,000 for this car new. Eighteen months later it was available for £60,000. The first owner absorbed a £55,000 depreciation hit. The second owner — this household — acquired a performance electric SUV at less than the price of a new mid-range diesel equivalent, with running costs a fraction of what the diesel would cost.

New list price
£115,000
EQE 53 AMG — what the first owner paid
Purchased at 18 months
£60,000
48% discount — first owner absorbed £55,000 depreciation
Comparable new diesel
~£75,000
New GLE AMG 53 — the diesel equivalent purchase price
Purchase price advantage
£15,000
EV bought cheaper than the diesel equivalent — before running costs

This flips the usual EV purchase price argument entirely. The common objection — "EVs cost more to buy" — is true at new list prices. It is emphatically not true when you buy an 18-month-old EQE 53 AMG at £60,000 versus a new GLE AMG diesel at £75,000+. The EV was £15,000 cheaper at point of purchase, and then saves £3,330/year in running costs on top.

"Bought at 18 months old for £60,000 — £15,000 less than the new diesel equivalent — and then saving £3,330/year to run. The payback calculation doesn't apply. The EV was cheaper to buy and cheaper to run from day one."

The depreciation arbitrage opportunity

EV depreciation in the £80,000–£130,000 bracket has been particularly steep because early adopters at that price point tend to upgrade frequently, and the second-hand market for six-figure EVs is thinner than for mainstream models. If you purchased an EQE new, you have likely lost more than a third of the car's value on paper within three years — making slightly-used examples an exceptional value proposition for the second buyer.

The same logic applies to the Mini, though less dramatically. The Mini Cooper Electric bought at 18 months old saves a meaningful amount versus new, and at a list price under £40,000 the residual values are stronger than the EQE. The key principle is the same: the first owner subsidises the second owner's acquisition cost — and in the EV market at the premium end, that subsidy has been exceptionally generous.

Total cost of ownership — the full picture

5-year ownership scenario Diesel (both cars, bought used) Electric (both cars, bought used) 5-year difference
Purchase price — Mercedes ~£45,000 £60,000 EV £15,000 more
Purchase price — Mini ~£18,000 ~£18,000 Roughly equal
5-year running costs (×£3,330/yr) ~£31,155 ~£9,415 EV saves £16,650
Estimated residual after 5 yrs ~£25,000 combined ~£30,000 combined EV holds better
Net 5-year cost ~£66,155 ~£57,415 EV ~£6,650 cheaper

Purchase prices are estimates based on 18-month-old used market values. Running costs use the £3,330/year combined saving from the full running cost comparison above. Residual values are indicative. The diesel GLE bought used at 18 months assumed at ~£45,000 (new GLE diesel ~£78,000 with similar depreciation curve). All figures approximate — the purpose is directional, not precise.

The 5-year total cost of ownership favours the electric pair by approximately £9,390 — and that's before accounting for any solar self-consumption reducing charging costs to near zero on sunny days, or any further grid carbon intensity reduction improving the EV's environmental case. The gap widens every year electricity stays cheaper than diesel per unit of energy delivered.

The smart money move: finance it and let the law protect you

Buying an EV outright exposes you to the full force of depreciation — as the first owner of an EQE 53 AMG discovered when their £115,000 car was worth £60,000 eighteen months later. Financing it changes the risk profile entirely, particularly when you understand two things most car buyers don't: what happens at the end of a PCP contract, and what you can do halfway through one.

End of contract: just hand it back

A PCP (Personal Contract Purchase) agreement is structured so that at the end of the term — typically 2–4 years — you have three options: pay the final balloon payment and own the car, part-exchange it, or simply hand it back and walk away. If the car's market value has fallen below the guaranteed future value (GFV) set by the finance company at the start, that's entirely the finance company's problem, not yours. You owe nothing beyond the balloon payment you've chosen not to pay.

For EVs — where depreciation has been steep and unpredictable — this is a genuinely powerful protection. If the technology moves on, a new model with significantly better range arrives, or the market softens further, the end-of-PCP handback means you have effectively transferred all residual value risk to the lender. They set the GFV at the start; they absorb the shortfall at the end.

The finance company has to guess what your EV will be worth in three years when they write the deal. If they guessed wrong — and with EVs, many have — you hand the car back, shake hands, and walk away. The lender absorbs the depreciation. You absorbed none of it beyond your monthly payments.

Halfway through: Section 99 of the Consumer Credit Act 1974

This is the provision almost nobody knows about, and it is one of the most powerful consumer rights in UK finance law. Under Section 99 of the Consumer Credit Act 1974 — known as the Voluntary Termination right or the "Half Rule" — once you have paid 50% of the total amount payable on a regulated PCP or HP agreement, you can hand the car back and walk away with no further liability. No penalty. No shortfall. Nothing.

The key numbers: The 50% threshold is calculated on the total amount payable — your deposit, all monthly payments, interest, fees, and the balloon payment combined. It is not 50% of the car's purchase price. Check your agreement document carefully for the "Total Amount Payable" figure and halve it. That is your threshold. Once crossed, write to the finance company citing "Section 99 of the Consumer Credit Act 1974" explicitly — not just "I want to hand the car back." The statutory language is what triggers the legal protection.

For EV owners worried about a sudden technology shift or market collapse midway through ownership, this is a genuine safety net. Voluntary termination is a legal right, not a favour your lender can grant or refuse — no finance company can contractually remove this right, regardless of what their terms and conditions say. The car goes back, the agreement closes, and you have the option to move on to whatever comes next — a newer EV, a different model, or simply no car finance at all.

How these two protections work together

End of contract handback
Transfer residual value risk to lender
Finance company sets GFV at start. If the car is worth less at end of term, their problem entirely. You hand back, walk away, owe nothing beyond declining the balloon payment. Available on any PCP agreement.
Section 99 VT — the half rule
Exit midway with zero liability
Once 50% of total amount payable is reached, you can hand back and walk away with no penalty under UK law. Enshrined in Section 99, Consumer Credit Act 1974. Cannot be removed by any finance company's T&Cs.
What you still owe
Only fair wear and tear
At either handback point, the finance company may charge for damage beyond fair wear and tear or excess mileage. Document the car thoroughly before handover — photos, video, independent condition report.
Credit file impact
Minimal if done correctly
Exercising your VT right should have no negative impact on your credit record as long as you have contacted the finance company correctly, cited Section 99, and have not missed any previous payments.

The strategy in practice

For an EV like the EQE 53 AMG — a car with a high list price and demonstrated steep early depreciation — the smart financing approach is:

Finance it on PCP at a reasonable deposit and monthly payment. If after 18–24 months you decide the technology has moved on and a newer model suits you better, calculate your 50% threshold. If you're there, invoke Section 99 and hand it back. If you're not, assess whether topping up to the 50% figure makes sense versus continuing. At end of contract, if you've run it for the full term and the residual is below the GFV, simply hand it back rather than paying the balloon.

Either way, you never own a depreciating asset outright — you pay for the use of it, and the law gives you structured exit points that cap your downside. In a market where EV values have been volatile and technology has been advancing rapidly, that flexibility is worth a great deal.

The verdict

This isn't a close call

The diesel cars cost roughly £5,831/year to run. The electric equivalents cost roughly £1,883/year. The difference — £3,948/year — is not marginal. It's the difference between a system that drains money every time you drive and one that largely runs on electricity you're generating anyway.

The 7p/kWh overnight rate is the decisive variable. At standard electricity prices the case is still strong; at overnight EV tariff rates combined with solar self-consumption, it becomes overwhelming. The household's energy system — solar, battery, Zappi, Homey — was designed with EV charging as an integral load, not an afterthought.

And then there is the Gulf. Diesel prices have risen by more than 29 pence a litre — nearly 20% — in the three weeks following the start of the Middle East conflict in February 2026, as the Strait of Hormuz disruption removed an estimated 20 million barrels of oil per day from global supply. Every diesel car owner in the UK absorbed that cost automatically. The EV owner's charging bill did not move. This is not a one-off event — it is a structural reminder that petrol and diesel prices are permanently exposed to events thousands of miles away that the driver cannot control, predict, or hedge against. Electricity — especially electricity generated on your own roof — is not.

The carbon case is equally clear. 5.4 tonnes of CO2 per year from the two diesels, replaced by 0.6–0.8 tonnes from grid-charged EVs. With solar covering an increasing share of charging, that figure will only fall further as the grid continues to decarbonise.

£3,948
total annual running cost saving (fuel, VED, servicing)
2.5p
per mile, EQE 53 AMG (vs ~20p diesel @ £1.85/litre)
−85%
carbon reduction, diesel to EV
cheaper per mile to run than diesel
~£0
solar-charged miles on sunny days
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